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X-WR-CALDESC:Events for JPOSS
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DTSTART:20260308T070000
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260305T200000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260305T210000
DTSTAMP:20261003T150430
CREATED:20260211T161113Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260223T192450Z
UID:1439-1772740800-1772744400@jposs.org
SUMMARY:Yuji Idomoto (UCSD)\, "The Military That Isn’t: Legalized Anti-Militarism and Limits of Japan’s Defense Policy"
DESCRIPTION:U.S. ET: March 5 (Thursday)\, 8 – 9 PM \nJST: March 6 (Friday)\, 10 – 11 AM \nZoom Registration: Link \nPaper: Idomoto paper \nAuthor & Presenter: Yuji Idomoto \nAbstract:\nJapan’s postwar security identity has been defined by anti-militarism\, rooted in Article 9 of the Constitution. Existing scholarship has examined its normative foundations\, erosion under regional threats\, and persistence despite incremental change\, but has paid little attention to its legalized dimension—specifically\, the formal designation of the Self-Defense Forces (SDF) as an administrative organ rather than a military. This paper argues that the SDF’s legal status imposes distinctive operational constraints: it must function in a policing capacity during peacetime\, requires explicit political authorization to engage in combat\, and lacks standing rules of engagement and military codes. These limitations hinder crisis response\, discipline\, and coordination with allies. Drawing on underutilized Japanese-language sources\, this study demonstrates how domestic legislation institutionalizes restraint\, extending debates on anti-militarism and Japanese defense policy. More broadly\, it shows how the legalization of domestic norms can profoundly shape foreign and defense policy. \nDiscussants: Thomas Berger (Boston University)\, Paul Midford (Meiji Gakuin University) \nChair: Amy Catalinac (New York University)
URL:https://jposs.org/event/jposs-58-yuji-idomoto-ucsd-the-military-that-isnt-legalized-anti-militarism-and-limits-of-japans-defense-policy/
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260409T200000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260409T210000
DTSTAMP:20261003T150430
CREATED:20260328T205205Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260402T183305Z
UID:1460-1775764800-1775768400@jposs.org
SUMMARY:Christina Davis (Harvard University)\, "Shaping Trade Stability: WTO Rulings on Export Restrictions and Business Confidence in Supply Chains"
DESCRIPTION:US ET: April 9 (Thursday)\, 8 – 9 PM \nJST: April 10 (Friday)\, 9 – 10 AM \nZoom Registration: Link \nPaper: Link \nAuthors: Christina Davis (Harvard University)\, Jialu Li (independent researcher)\, and Sayumi Miyano (Osaka University) \nPresenter: Christina Davis (Harvard University) \nAbstract:\nAn effective international legal system resolves disputes and deters violations. Once the strongest area of international law\, the WTO has been weakened by internal conflicts\, trade wars\, and supply chain disruptions. This paper examines whether WTO rulings still bolster confidence in the rules-based trade order\, focusing on business perceptions of supply chain stability. Using a 2022 survey experiment of Japanese firm managers\, we assess how WTO rulings shape expectations about trade reliability. Respondents were randomly assigned to receive varying information regarding a WTO ruling that found China’s export restrictions on raw materials violated WTO rules\, modeled on an actual case. We analyze how legal rulings and policy changes affect confidence in securing input supplies and compare perceptions of China’s supply chains versus other countries. Results show that learning about a WTO ruling against China lowers confidence in China’s supply chain reliability. However\, further learning about China’s compliance with the ruling significantly restores confidence—more than similar policy changes without multilateral enforcement. These findings suggest that while highlighting violations may weaken trust\, compliance strengthens confidence in global trade stability. \nDiscussants: Gregory Shaffer (Georgetown University Law Center)\, Iain Osgood (University of Michigan) \nChair: Saori Katada (University of Southern California)
URL:https://jposs.org/event/christina-davis-harvard-university-shaping-trade-stability-wto-rulings-on-export-restrictions-and-business-confidence-in-supply-chains/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260521T200000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260521T210000
DTSTAMP:20261003T150430
CREATED:20260410T144930Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260516T154018Z
UID:1470-1779393600-1779397200@jposs.org
SUMMARY:Sho Miyazaki (Waseda University)\, "Why Do AI Models Tell Left-Wing Voters to Support the Communist Party? AI Voting Advice in Japan’s 2026 General Election"
DESCRIPTION:US ET: May 21 (Thursday)\, 8 – 9 PM \nJST: May 22 (Friday)\, 9 – 10 AM \nZoom Registration: Link \nPaper: Link \nAuthors: Sho Miyazaki (Waseda University)\, Andrew B. Hall (Stanford University) \nPresenter: Sho Miyazaki (Waseda University) \nAbstract:\nAl chatbots with web search are increasingly used for voting guidance\, yet we know relatively little about their recommendation behavior outside the US. We query five models from three companies with 36\,300 synthetic voter profiles during Japan’s 2026 Lower House election\, plus a follow-up with today’s four frontier models. Policy stances dominate recommendations\, producing 50-98 percentage point swings compared to 0.5-7.0 pp for demographics. Strikingly\, left-leaning stances cause all five models to converge on Japan’s Communist Party\, despite other parties holding similar positions on the relevant issues. We trace this to the information environment: JCP operates a fully open website with a party newspaper that models freely access and frequently misclassify as independent journalism\, while major Japanese news outlets block Al crawlers. Without policy input\, models show no uniform left-wing bias. Incorporating X search shifts recommendations modestly leftward\, contradicting US-centric expectations. These findings suggest that Al models need better source discrimination in non-US contexts\, and that news organizations blocking Al access may inadvertently cede influence over Al-mediated voting advice to partisan sources that remain open. \nDiscussants: Kentaro Fukumoto (University of Tokyo)\, Kenneth McElwain (University of Tokyo) \nChair: Yusaku Horiuchi (Florida State University)
URL:https://jposs.org/event/sho-miyazaki-waseda-university-why-do-ai-models-tell-left-wing-voters-to-support-the-communist-party-ai-voting-advice-in-japans-2026-general-election/
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260723T200000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260723T210000
DTSTAMP:20261003T150430
CREATED:20260630T141107Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260721T151631Z
UID:1515-1784836800-1784840400@jposs.org
SUMMARY:Tyler Rongxuan Chen (University of Michigan)\, "Crisis from Within: Elite Defection\, Intraparty Competition\, and the Breakdown of Dominant Party Systems"
DESCRIPTION:US ET: July 23 (Thursday)\, 8 – 9 PM \nJST: July 24 (Friday)\, 9 – 10 AM \nZoom Registration: Link \nPaper: 0720 Crisis from Within \nAuthor and Presenter: Tyler Rongxuan Chen (University of Michigan) \nAbstract:\nWhen and how do dominant party systems break? I argue that the cracks from which they do not recover come from within\, after years of electoral dominance\, led by the party’s most successful politicians rather than its marginal ones. Across 4\,638 candidate-elections in UMNO in Peninsular Malaysia (1959–2018)\, the LDP in Japan (1958-1993)\, and the KMT in Taiwan (1986-2001)\, I show that dominant parties’ monopoly over office forces losing elites to choose between marginalization and exit. This choice produces two distinct patterns: bloc exits\, when cohesive factions leave together after losing leadership struggles\, and marginal exits\, when weakened candidates depart alone. Whether a split actually ends the party’s dominance is a downstream question: breakaway parties endure only when they attach to a social cleavage the dominant party cannot absorb. Dominant-party system breakdown is an elite phenomenon in its onset and a cleavage phenomenon in its consequences. \nDiscussants: Ko Maeda (University of North Texas)\, Ora John Reuter (University of Wisconsin\, Milwakee) \nChair: Daniel Smith (University of Pennsylvania)
URL:https://jposs.org/event/tyler-rongxuan-chen-crisis-from-within/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261029T200000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261029T210000
DTSTAMP:20261003T150430
CREATED:20261003T140954Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20261003T170538Z
UID:1538-1793304000-1793307600@jposs.org
SUMMARY:Michael Strausz (Texas Christian University)\, "Economic Framing and Local Politicians’ Support for Same-Sex Partnership Recognition in Japan"
DESCRIPTION:US ET: October 29 (Thursday)\, 8 – 9 PM \nJST: October 30 (Friday)\, 9 – 10 AM \nZoom Registration: Link \nPaper to be posted \nPresenter: Michael Strausz (Texas Christian University) \nAuthors: Michael Strausz (Texas Christian University)\, Hikaru Yamagishi (World Bank)\, Tian Yunchen (Kyoto University)\, and Yoshikuni Ono (Waseda University). \nAbstract:\nPolicies concerning same-sex couples remain highly contested worldwide\, and in many countries\, including Japan\, change often emerges at the local rather than national level. Some Japanese municipalities have pioneered partnership recognition\, yet little is known about what shapes local politicians’ support. This study examines whether economic framing—appeals from firms seeking to invest and create local jobs—influences attitudes toward same sex partnership recognition. We conducted a survey experiment of over 2\,500 city council members in 400 municipalities across Japan\, randomly assigning municipalities to one of three conditions: control\, demands from a domestic firm\, or demands from a foreign firm. Economic appeals significantly increased support for treating same-sex couples as de facto married couples on resident registration forms\, but not for issuing municipal partnership certificates or permitting married couples to keep separate surnames. Foreign firm appeals were somewhat more effective\, especially among initially opposed politicians. These findings show that economic framing can shift elite attitudes on LGBTQ policies\, but its reach is limited. \nDiscussants: Ken Victor Leonard Hijino (Kyoto University)\, Matthew Incantalupo (Yeshiva University) \nChair: Saori Katada (University of California\, Santa Barbara)
URL:https://jposs.org/event/strausz-economic-framing/
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