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SUMMARY:Matthew Morris (University of Nottingham)\, "Deindustrialisation and Election Outcomes – Evidence from Japan"
DESCRIPTION:U.S. ET: December 7 (Thursday)\, 8 – 9 PM \nJST: December 8 (Friday)\, 10 – 11 AM \nZoom Registration: Link \nPaper is available here. \nAuthor: Matthew Morris (University of Nottingham) \nAbstract:\nI investigate the impact of deindustrialisation on election outcomes in Japan over 1983-2012 to expand the economic voting literature eastwards. To causally identify the impact of deindustrialisation I use a Bartik instrument to compute a measure of the exogenous change in local manufacturing employment. At the prefectural level\, greater deindustrialisation leads to (1) an increase in support for nationalist and isolationist parties (2) a decrease in support for the LDP\, and (3) no shift to the right in the electorate. My individual-level analysis of vote choice suggests that such a nationalist reaction may be generationally split\, being most pronounced in the youth and the elderly. \nPresenter: Matthew Morris (University of Nottingham) \nDiscussants: Ko Maeda (University of North Texas) and Stephen Weymouth (Georgetown University)  \nChair: Christina L. Davis (Harvard University)
URL:https://jposs.org/event/matthew-morris/
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